THE SYSTEMIC RISK IN THE GULF COOPERATION COUNCIL COUNTRIES’ EQUITY MARKETS AND BANKING SECTORS: A DYNAMIC COVAR APPROACH
Abstract
This paper examines the systemic risk and its spillover between banking sectors of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region using the conditional value-at-risk framework. We construct country-specific banking indices using 11 large banks in the region that are systemically important (SIB). We report evidence of systemic risk spillovers
from SIBs to the broad-based GCC market indices. The incremental tail spillovers are statistically significant for other domestic banks’ tail risk and inflate the systemic risk of cross-country GCC banks.
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