EXTERNAL DEBT, INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH

  • Siti Nurazira Mohd Daud School of Economics, Finance and Banking, University Utara Malaysia
Keywords: External debt, Economic growth, Institutional quality, Emerging economies

Abstract

This paper addresses the gap in the literature by investigating the role of the institutional quality in the nexus of external debt and economic growth. By employing a dynamic panel data analysis, we found that the institutional quality plays some role in complementing the effect of external debt on a country’s economic growth. We also found that the negative effect of external debt and a country’s economic growth monotonically increases with the level of institutional indicator, which implies the possibility of debt overhang may still happen in economies endowed with good institutions, but for higher values of debt.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Agbloyor, E. K., Abor, J.Y., Adjasi, C.K.D., and Yawson, A. (2014). Private Capital Flows and Economic Growth in Africa: The Role of Domestic Financial Markets. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 30,137-152.

Alfaro, L., Chanda, A., Kalemli-Ozcan, S., and Sayek, S. (2004). FDI and Economic Growth: The Role of Local Financial Market, Journal of International Economics, 64, 113-134.

Arellano, M., and Bond, S. (1991). Some Test of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employement Equation. Review of Economics Studies, 58, 277-297.

Arellano, M., and Bover, O. (1995). Another Look at the Instrumental Variables Estimation of Error-Components Models. Journal of Econometrics, 68, 29-51.

Bailliu, J.N. (2000). Private Capital Flows, Financial Development and Economic Growth in Developing Countries, Bank of Canada Working Paper no.15.

Brambila-Macias, J., and Massa, I. (2010). The Global Financial Crisis and Subsaharan Africa: The Effects of Slowing Private Capital Inflows on Growth. African Development Review, 22, 366-377.

Blundell, R., and Bond, S. (1998). Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models. Journal of Econometrics, 87, 115-143.

Chowdhury, A.R. (2001). External Debt and Growth in Developing Countries: A Sensitivity and Causal Analysis. WIDER Discussion Paper No. 2001/95.

Clements, B., Bhattacharya, R., and Nguyen, T.Q. (2003). External Debt, Public Investment and Growth in Low-Income Countries. IMF Working Paper No. 03/249.

Cordella, T., Ricci, L.A., and Ruiz-Arranz, M. (2010). External Debt Overhang of External Debt Irrelevance? IMF Staff Paper, 57, 1-24.

Daud, S.N.M., and Podivinsky, J.M. (2014). Government Debt and Economic Growth in Malaysia: The Role of Institutional Quality. Applied Economics Letters, 21, 1179-1183.

Daud, S.N.M., and Podivinsky, J.M. (2012). Revisiting the Role of External Debt in Economic Growth of Developing Countries. Journal of Business, Economics and Management, 13, 968-993.

Dawson, JW. (2003). Causality in the Freedom-Growth Relationship. European Journal of Political Economy, 19, 479–495.

Devpura, N., and Narayan, P.K., (2020) Hourly Oil Price Volatility: The Role of COVID-19, Energy Research Letters, 1(2), 13683. https://doi.org/10.46557/001c.13683

Fu, M., & Shen, H. (2020). COVID-19 and corporate performance in the energy industry. Energy Research Letters, 1(1), 12967. https://doi.org/10.46557/001c.12967

Griffin, K.B., and Enos, J.L. (1970). Foreign Assistance: Objectives and Consequences. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 18, 313-327.

Gwartney, J.D., Holcombe, R.G., and Lawson, R.A. (2004). Economic Freedom, Institutional Quality, and Cross-Country Differences in Income and Growth. Cato Journal 24, 205–233.

Hansen, B.E. (2000). Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation. Econometrica, 68, 575–603.

Haroon, O., and Rizvi, S.A.R., (2020) Flatten the Curve and Stock Market Liquidity—An Inquiry into Emerging Economies. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56, 2151-2161. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2020.1784716.

Heckelman, J.C., and Stroup, M.D. (2000). Which Economic Freedom Contributes to Growth? Kyklos, 53, 527-544.

Heckelman, J.C. (2000). Economic Freedom and Economic Growth: A Short-Run Causal Investigation. Journal of Applied Economics, 3, 71–91.

Ho, S. Y., & Iyke, B. N. (2020). The Determinants of Economic Growth in Ghana: New Empirical Evidence. Global Business Review, 21, 626-644.

Imbs, J., and Ranciere, R. (2005). The Overhang Hangover, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 3673.

International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2019). IMF Annual Report 2019: Our Connected World. International Monetary Fund, Washington, United States.

Iyke, B. N. (2017). Does Trade Openness Matter for Economic Growth in the CEE Countries?. Review of Economic Perspectives, 17, 3-24.

Iyke, B. N. (2018). The Real Effect of Currency Misalignment on Productivity Growth: Evidence from Middle-Income Economies. Empirical Economics, 55, 1637-1659.

Iyke, B.N., (2020a) The Disease Outbreak Channel of Exchange Rate Return Predictability: Evidence from COVID-19, Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56, 2277-2297; https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2020.1784718.

Iyke, B., (2020b) COVID-19: The Reaction of US Oil and Gas Producers to the Pandemic, Energy Research Letters, 1(2), 13912. https://doi.org/10.46557/001c.13912

Juhro, S. M., Narayan, P. K., Iyke, B. N., & Trisnanto, B. (2020). Is There a Role for Islamic Finance and R&D in Endogenous Growth Models in the Case of Indonesia?. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 101297. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2020.101297.

Kremer. S., Bick, A., and Nautz, D. (2012). Inflation and Growth: New Evidence from a Dynamic Panel Threshold Analysis, Empirical Economics, 44, 861-878.

Kirch, G., and Terra, P.R.S. (2012). Determinant of Corporate External Debt Maturtiy in South America: Do Instituional Quality and Financial Development Matter?, Journal of Corporate Finance, 18, 980-993.

Law, S.H., Kutan, A.M., and Naseem, N.A.M. (2018). The Rolw of Instituitions in Finance Curse: Evidence from International Data. Journal of Comparative Economics, 46,174-191.

Law, S.H., W.N.W. Azman-Saini and Ibrahim, M. (2013). Institutional Quality Threshold and the Finance-Growth Nexus. Journal of Banking and Finance, 37, 5373-5381.

Mensah, D., Aboagye, A., Abor, J., and Kyereboah-Coleman, A. (2018a). External Debt Among HIPC’s in Africa: Accounting and Panel VAR Analysis of Some Determinants, Journal of Economics Studies, 44, 431-455.

Mensah, D., Bokpin, G., and Boachie-Yiadom, E. (2018b). External Debts, Instituion and Growth in SSA. Journal of African Business, 9, 457-490.

Mishra, A.K., Rath, B.N., and Dash, A.K., (2020) Does the Indian Financial Market Nosedive Because of the COVID-19 Outbreak, in Comparison to After Demonetisation and the GST? Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56, 2162- 2180; https://doi.org/10/1080/1540496X.2020.1785425.

Narayan, P. K. (2020). Oil price news and COVID-19—Is there any connection?. Energy Research Letters, 1(1), 13176. https://doi.org/10.46557/001c.13176

Otani, I., Villaneuva, D. (1989). Theoretical Aspects of Growth in Developing Countries: External Debt Dynamic and the Role of Human Capital. IMF Staff Paper, 36, 307–342.

Ouyang, A.Y., and Rajan, R.S. (2014). What Determines External Debt Tipping Points? Journal of. Macroeconomics, 39, 215-225.

Pattillo, C., Poirson, H., and Ricci, L.A. (2011). External Debt and Growth. Review of Economics and Institutions, 2, 1-30.

Pattillo, C., Poirson, H., and Ricci, L. (2004). What Are the Channels Through Which External Debt Affects Growth? IMF Working Paper No. 04/15.

Phan, D.H.B., and Narayan, P.K. (2020). Country responses and the reaction of the stock market to COVID-19—a Preliminary Exposition. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56, 2138-2150; https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2020.1784719’

Prabheesh, K.P., Padhan, R., and Garg, B. (2020). COVID-19 and the Oil Price— Stock Market Nexus: Evidence from Net Oil-Importing Countries, Energy Research Letters, 1(2), 13745. https://doi.org/10.46557/001c.13745

Ramzan, M., and Ahmad, E. (2014). External Debt Growth Nexus: Role of Macroeconomic Policies. Economic Modelling, 38, 204-210.

Salisu, A., & Adediran, I. (2020). Uncertainty due to infectious diseases and energy market volatility Energy Research Letters, 1(2), 14185. https://doi.org/10.46557/001c.14185

Sen, S., Kasibhatla, M., and Stewart, D.B. (2007). External Debt Overhang and Economic Growth-The Asian and the Latin America Experiences. Economics System, 31, 3–11.

Takumah, W., & Iyke, B. N. (2017). The Links between Economic Growth and Tax Revenue in Ghana: an Empirical Investigation. International Journal of Sustainable Economy, 9, 34-55.

United Nations Economic and Social Council Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA), (2012). Impact of the European External Debt Crisis on Africa’s Economy, UNECA background paper, United Nations Economic and Social Council Economic Commission for Africa, Ethiopia.

Vidya, C. T., and Prabheesh, K.P. (2020). Implications of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Global Trade Networks. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56, 2408-2421 https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2020.1785426.

Villaneuva, D. (2003). External Debt, Capital Accumulation and Growth, SMU-SESS Discussion Paper Series in Economic Studies.

PlumX Metrics

Published
2020-06-30
How to Cite
Mohd Daud, S. N. (2020). EXTERNAL DEBT, INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH. Buletin Ekonomi Moneter Dan Perbankan, 23(2), 221-238. https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v23i2.1173
Section
Articles