THE DETERMINANTS OF SYSTEMIC RISK: EVIDENCE FROM INDONESIAN COMMERCIAL BANKS

  • Mutiara Aini Institut Teknologi Bandung
  • Deddy Priatmodjo Koesrindartoto Institut Teknologi Bandung
Keywords: Bank Fragility, Bank Performance, Financial Regulation, Systemic Risk

Abstract

This paper examines the determinants of systemic risk across Indonesian commercial banks using quarterly data from 2001Q4 to 2017Q4. Employing four measures of systemic risk, namely value-at-risk (VaR), historical marginal expected shortfall (MESH), marginal expected shortfall from GARCH-DCC (MESdcc), and long-run marginal expected shortfall (LRMES), we find that bank size is positively related to systemic risk, whereas banks and economic loan activity are negatively related to systemic risk. These findings suggest that the government needs to regulate loan activities and to monitor big banks as they have significant impacts on bank systemic risk.

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Published
2020-02-29
How to Cite
Aini, M., & Koesrindartoto, D. (2020). THE DETERMINANTS OF SYSTEMIC RISK: EVIDENCE FROM INDONESIAN COMMERCIAL BANKS. Buletin Ekonomi Moneter Dan Perbankan, 23(1), 101 - 120. https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v23i1.1084
Section
Articles